September 15, 2013
Ingrid Becomes the Second "Atlantic" Hurricane of 2013
According to the 10th public advisory bulletin concerning Ingrid, issued by the National Hurricane Center at 21:00 UTC yesterday evening:
INGRID BECOMES THE SECOND HURRICANE OF THE 2013 SEASON.
A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED [BY THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO] FROM CABO ROJO TO LA PESCA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF LA PESCA TO BAHIA ALGODONES…AND FROM SOUTH OF CABO ROJO TO TUXPAN.
As you can tell from that report, Ingrid has actually formed in the Gulf of Mexico close to the Mexican coast. According to the latest bulletin #12a:
INGRID CONTINUES A SLOW APPROACH TOWARD THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO, AND HAS NOT STRENGTHENED FURTHER. ON THE FORECAST TRACK INGRID SHOULD REACH THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA EARLY MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH (140 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES (55 KM) FROM THE CENTER, AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES (150 KM). THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB (29.12 INCHES).
INGRID IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN OVER A LARGE PART OF EASTERN MEXICO WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA EARLY MONDAY, WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY TONIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA EARLY MONDAY.
A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER OF INGRID MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE COAST THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
Here is Ingrid's current 5 day forecast track:
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Comments on Ingrid Becomes the Second "Atlantic" Hurricane of 2013 »
Jim @ 8:17 am
The most recent NHC public advisory bulletin for Ingrid states that:
Meanwhile the BBC also reports on events on the other side of Mexico:
Jim @ 12:05 pm
In their 7:00 AM CDT bulletin the NHC say that:
Jim @ 12:51 pm
The BBC reports this morning that: